Monday, June 12, 2006

Only three hours sleep last night ......

....... no, not the beer, or the weather...... the golf. Thank you very much Adam Scott, was so mad after the Barclays Classic, that it took me 5 hours to wind down and get to bed.

Angry with myself that is, pre tournament I kept looking at Vijay Singh, how could he be 25-1,
his form was not terrible, just not up to his normal, very high standard. Last year he was 5-1 for this event, called two "judges" and both said "he could not win" , thank you very much to them too.

Of course, we all miss winners, that is not why I was so miffed (not strong enough a word), no clever clogs here, decides on Sunday that VJ is not value and places a big bet on Scott. The young aussie plays well, has a very short putt to go 2 shots clear on the back 9 and is odds on, across the board. Feeling very smug at this point, not backed a loser (Singh) , had a large winning wager (Scott) and then ...... Adam Scott THREE PUTTS FROM 4 FEET. My granny could have holed any of these putts and she has been dead 25 years ! The rest is history.

Anyway, that is why I am tired today. Three more World Cup matches , going against the tide on all three, seems like EVERONE has the same ideas today and the odds reflect this.

First up is the Australia- Japan tie, these teams will get to know each other very well over the next few years, as Australia is now in Asia, at least for World Cup qualification purposes, in the same way as Kazakstan and Israel are in Europe !

The world and his uncle (very family orientated blog today) seem to expect a low scoring match / draw and "under" is the most popular choice. I agree to a certain extent, but if either have hopes of progression to the next stage, then they should be looking for the win today, with Brazil and Croatia up next. We can take over two goals at 1.90 and I consider that good value, as both have been creating chances in recent outings and are likely to look for a winner. Just have a feeling that this game could really open up and will also take a very small interest on over 3.5 goals.

Will be back later with my views on the later games.

4 points over 2 goals 1.90 asian line
1 point over 3.5 goals 4.90 betfair...... this is like to increase nearer kick off

Good Luck.

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