Saturday, November 18, 2006

MASTERS CUP SEMI-FINALS


OK, it's not the final, but everyone got the match they wanted, the sponsors, audience, television, Nadal, everyone, except maybe Roger Federer.

He will surely be a little wary as the top 2 in the world square up, for the 6th time this season in Shanghai.

Rafa leads the h2h 6-2, 4 wins on clay and 2-2 on faster surfaces, one of the losses came in their last meeting, when Roger held all the aces on his hallowed Wimbledon centre court. Nadal still took a set and snatched two of them in his other loss, a 5 set defeat in Miami.

See no reason why the young Spaniard cannot take at least one set today, he has managed it 8 times in 8 meetings.

In the second semi, I think that James Blake has far more chance than his odds of 2.20, which equate to 45.5 % would indicate, at worse, for me, he is 50/50.

Blake should get a lot of joy on the Argentine players serve and there will be plenty of break points here, the two have never met, so no previous history. You can never be sure which Nalbandian will turn up and my money can only go on the "outsider".

I will be back in an hour or so with my first football post. Going to stick with the UK action today and have several strong selections.

lay 4 points Federer to win 2-0 sets 1.75 betfair.
3 points James Blake to beat David Nalbandian 2.22 betfair.

Good Luck.

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