Wednesday, January 24, 2007

AUSTRALIAN OPEN TENNIS ........ FEDEX - A ROD


I have to pass on the women's semis, think that the Sharapova-Clijsters match, is a true coin flip and the bookmakers agree.


The word is that Serena is tired, which is not a surprise and I guess that is why Vaidisova's odds have tumbled, originally quoted at 2.20 in a place, she has been backed down to 1.78 on Betfair.

The American has had a day off, so really, tiredness should not come into it, I prefer the Czech player, but not at the current odds, no bet.


Federer has an incredible, 12-1 record over Roddick, however, Andy has managed to take a set in the two most recent meetings, at last year's US Open and in the end of season, Masters Cup in Shanghai .


Roddick served at 80% in that match and had chances to win, think he now believes he CAN beat Federer , which is thanks, in no small part, to Jimmy Connors, it may not happen today, but someday soon.


Key is likely to be the second serve, the only time Federer's has dropped below 50% in their meetings, was in his solitary defeat. To win, Roddick is going to have to gamble, both on his and his opponents second serve.


I think the American will take a set and maybe two and can see plenty of value in him to get off to a flyer and take the first. Connors will have drummed into him, that a good start is crucial. That will be my main bet and I will pair it, with a little on the match to go to a decider.


2.5 points Roddick to win the first set 3.75 general // stan james.

1 point Federer to win 3-2 sets 8.0 general // stan james.


Good Luck.

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