Saturday, August 11, 2007

USPGA CHAMPIONSHIP .... DAY 3


Had a long look at the 2 ball matches for today and have found two nice looking bets, based mainly on the respective players, round 3 scoring record.


Todd Hamilton just cannot get anything going over the weekend and it has been the same story for two years. He is ranked 195 (last place) this year and 188th last, his stroke average on saturday's in 2007 is 76.14, over 5 shots per round worse that Brian Bateman, whom he is paired against today.


Bateman was +4 for his round yeaterday, but played "hungry" golf for the final 8 holes (-1), knowing that was the score he required to make the cut. Hamilton played the same stretch in 3 over par, doing his best to get the weekend off, but just failing !


As I have mentioned on numerous occasions, Steve Stricker is one of the better weekend players on tour. He shot a very nice round yesterday, three strokes fewer than Brett Wetterich, his partner this afternoon. Stricker is ranked 3rd on tour in 2007 ( 19th 2006) , with an average round of 68.92,almost 4 strokes ahead of Wetterich, who is toiling in 173rd spot.


3.5 points Bateman to beat Hamilton 1.91 Stan James // 1.90 Unibet// 1.85 Expekt

3.5 points Stricker to beat Wetterich 1.72 Hills // 1.70 Expekt


There is no liquidity for these 2 balls on the exchanges as I type , but this will probably change nearer tee off.


OUTRIGHT


Tiger is now quoted as low as 1.20 to claim his first major of the year and in his current form, there is no point in opposing him, although those odds are terribly short.


In the without Woods market, I feel Adam Scott could go close, he feels happy with his game, as reported yesterday, when his round of 68 was pretty impressive, playing the tough first nine ( his back nine) in -2 , a five stroke improvement over thursday. He will be one of the few that truly believes he can still catch Tiger and at 16-1, we can invest a little.


2.5 points Adam Scott outright without Tiger Woods 17.0 general quote.


Good Luck.

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