Monday, October 29, 2007

MONDAY'S EMAIL ....

These were today's three email selections ......

FRENCH LIGUE 2
NIORT - NANTES

I like the draw here for the brave amongst you, but am going to take the hosts, plus the handicap start. Think that they will be fired up meeting the top team in Ligue 2 and will be eager to get a positive result on home soil. After losing just once in some 40 matches across two seasons, they have four home defeats to their name already this campaign. Of course, as so often happens, their normally suspect away form, has improved ! That is what makes football so much fun !

Nantes have something of a mini crisis and are missing a handful of players, they are short of options in midfield, especially in the creative department.

4.5 points Niort +1/2 ball 2.0 asian line. now 1.86

DENMARK ... AaB- ESBJERG

Hosts are the most inform team in the Premier league with 7 wins in 10 starts and a long unbeaten run. They will join Midtjylland at the top of the table with a win and actually take the lead, with a winning margin of 3 goals or more. This is a massive incentive for any team, but especially in a league where such opportunities are limited. The 3 goal win maybe beyond them, as they are without their top scorer, but I still feel they will not let the three points slip.

H2h wise they have dominated recent meetings, winning the last four at home, three by 2 goals or more and the last seven meetings overall.

They might drift a little, given the team news, so you will have to decide whether to wait and bet later in the day, obviously, I can only put them up at the current quote.

4.5 points AaB -1/2 ball 1.86 asian line. as predicted, line is up to 1.96

ATP MASTERS SERIES PARIS
JUAN-MARTIN DEL POTRO- FELICIANO LOPEZ

Lopez did us a favour recently, but I am deserting him today, in favour of the very promising young Argentine player, del Potro, who only celebrated his 19th birthday last month. He is happy on this indoor carpet, winning almost 70% of his, admittedly limited ATP matches on the surface, including two tough qualifying matches here, which will have left him battle hardened and have proved his well being.

Lopez is only batting at 44% on carpet and will have negative memories of their only previous meeting, which also came indoors, in Memphis, earlier this year. Del Potro won 1&2, he allowed the Spaniard just one break point and returned really well, Lopez struggled to win anything behind his second serve and I do not see him as favourite today.

4.5 points del Potro 2.0 + general quote. won in straight sets 6-3 6-4

Back shortly.

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