Saturday, August 29, 2009




This is a "big" Lancashire derby, which is always keenly fought, in front of two passionate sets of supporters. Bury have had much the better of the series in recent years and are unbeaten in eleven visits to Spotland. I see little changing this time round and again expect the visitors to leave with local bragging rights.

Both teams narrowly missed out on promotion last season and are taking a while to hit their stride . Dale look a little off the pace and goals are proving a problem after the sale of top scorer Adam Le Fondre, I am sure that they will come good, but Keith Hill might need a little longer to rally his troops.It was a similar story last campaign, when it took six games for them to awaken from their slumber, after losing out in the playoff final the previous season.

Bury have yet to win at home, but are creating chances and have won both road starts and for now, seem happier away from Gigg Lane. They have done well to keep strikers Andrew Morrell and Andy Bishop at the club, although we still have three more days of the transfer window to get through, or endure, if you are a coach of a smaller club, with limited resources and for the first time in ages, both are fit to start if chosen. Away win, in a division where only 40.21% of games have been won by home teams over the last two seasons.

6 points Bury +1/4 ball 1.85 asian line.

Good Luck.

"THE GUV'NOR" RETURNS ................



Things could have gone badly awry for Dons in the summer, when they lost yet another coach, but they acted quickly and brought a hungry Paul Ince back to the club and the changeover has been fairly seemless. Ince had a lot of success in his previous reign, he knows what makes the club tick and after his Blackburn debacle, not all of which was his fault, he is keen to re-establish himself.

Dons seem sure to be involved in the playoff picture and considering they have a number of key players injured, their start to the season has been very impressive and they remain unbeaten. Several of these long term injured are back in training and all will return in the next couple of weeks. September will be a big month, with division title favourites Leeds and free scoring Huddersfield coming to town, by which time we will have a clear idea of their promotion credentials.

We discussed their road form last season on several occasions and it bears repeating, over the last two seasons and a bit (two games), they are 33-9-6 in 48 starts, which means they have avoided deteat in 87.5% of those games, winning an incredible 69%.They have the ideal system for playing away from home and have perfected the art.

Exeter have made a pleasing enough start to life in Division 1, but I cannot get away from the idea that two consecutive promotions will catch up with them this season and remember, just 15 months ago they were still a non league side, competing in the BSP playoffs. Goals, both through pre season and league and cup starts to date have been scarce and it is fairly easy to see why, they simply are not creating enough chances. No side at this level have had fewer attempts on goal and their opponents today are averaging an incredible six chances per game more, with Dons also very difficult to break down, especially when they take the lead, City should be in for a very tough afternoon. Away win.

6 points MK Dons -1/4 ball 2.04 asian line.

Back later.

Friday, August 28, 2009

FRIDAY .........



Mainz were expected to struggle this season, especially when they lost a number of players, including a couple of key summer signings, to injury during the off season. However, results wise they could hardly have started better, given both those circumstances and the difficulty of opponent, they remain unbeaten after starts against Bayern, Hannover and Leverkusen. They have scored and conceded in all of those and a closer look at the stats will tell us that they have really rode their luck, being outshot and struggling for possession in each outing.

BMG have made a promising start to their campaign under new coach Michael Frontzeck and maybe results have not quite reflected that yet. They have been involved in three very open games, which have averaged 4.0 goals per start and there have been many goal scoring chances, with BMG allowing their opponent 20 + attempts in each and creating almost as many theirselves. I rate them the superior team and expect the home side to win today, they have an experienced midfield and in Raul Bobadilla, they have signed a young Argentine striker of great potential, who managed 44 goals in 78 appearances for FC Zurich. He has not found the net yet, but has been playing well and the goals are sure to come soon.

Going to take two bets here, in a match where I find it impossible not to see goals.

5 points BMG -3/4 ball 2.38 + asian line

5.5 points "over" 2.75 goals 2.07+ asian line.

Good Luck.

Thursday, August 27, 2009

EUROPA LEAGUE ............

EUROPA LEAGUE (written 09.00 Thursday)


Many of the star names at Zenit have moved on and the end of an era was clearly defined when Dick Advocaat, who was set to leave at the end of the season in any case, was fired. League performances have picked up since then, although they did lose the first leg 4-3 in Madeira, when they were without several key defenders, all of whom are now available to play some part.

The squad is still a talented group of players, capable of mixing it with the best in Europe on a going day and I fully expect them to turn this tie around, a win of almost any sort will see them progress, but the visitors, who have limited european experience will have to come out of their shell, if and when they fall behind and I am confident that a second or third goal will then follow. Nacional appear to have regressed a little from last season, especially with the loss of last season's Superliga top goalscorer Nene, who has joined Cagliari and they will hardly be at their best after a 5,000 km trip to St Petersburg.

6 points Zenit -1.25 goals 1.99 asian line.


Villa kick started their season with a fine win at Anfield on Monday night and they took their chances well, although it has to be said that Liverpool were very poor. That has really given the midlands club a massive boost and they are determined to keep the momentum and confidence levels up, by turning this tie around. They fell behind to a very early goal in Vienna, which they were never able to claim back, despite creating a lot of decent chances. There is a clear difference in class and although MON would probably prefer to concentrate on the league this season, I am sure that the last thing he , or his side need right now, is another poor home showing, following the Wigan debacle. I expect a two goal plus win on the bigger Villa Park pitch, but feel the HT/FT option offers a little more value, John Carew looks set to return to give them more and different offensive options and they will want to put this to bed asap and then focus on the Fulham game on Sunday.

6 points Villa-Villa HT/FT double result 1.83 general quote.

Good Luck.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

GOALS ON THE CARDS AGAIN ...............


These two sides look defensively fragile at present and it is virtually impossible to see either keeping a clean sheet. Boro were dreadful at the back in their loss at Preston over the weekend and little better conceding three at home to WBA in one half of football a week ago.

Ipswich were guilty of shambolic defending in two games last week, they "only" conceded five goals, but it could easily and perhaps should have been nine or ten !

I suspect that both will be looking for a win to kick start their season's and to gain some momentum going into the weekend and I am certain that we will see goals and am surprised to see quotes of evens +.

6.5 points "over" 2.5 goals 2.01 asian line.

Good Luck.



Wednesday remain a very big club, they are improving year upon year and in the next season or two, seem sure to mount a major promotion push to the EPL. They are unlikely to be involved in the relegation dogfight this season and can afford to take this competition seriously. Francis Jeffers will replace the cup-tied Luke Varney upfront and Brian Laws seem likely to rotate his squad a little, but he will want to build on the momentum gained from an easy 4-0 win over Scunthorpe on saturday, comes looking for the win and selects from what is virtually a fully fit squad.

Vale are a club in a mess both on and off the pitch and have really struggled on home soil in recent seasons, winning just 12 from 48 starts in the league, which is exactly 25% and that is playing teams from their own level, now they meet one from two divisions above and that is what I consider the difference between these two clubs, at least two full divisions.

The home side did cause an upset in the last round, winning at Wednesday's big cross town rivals, that would have caused great amusement in the blue half of Sheffield, but Vale really rode their luck. They were outplayed by the United "b" team, yet their goal led a charmed life and a goalkeeping error finally proved decisive.

Therefore, a win tonight for the Owls will also provide additional bragging rights over United, which cannot be underestimated in this football mad city and I take them to comfortably beat a poor Vale team, who are desperately trying to make some loan signings to strengthen their squad.

Sheffield Wednesday -1/2 ball 1.96 + a little 2.0 around.

Good Luck.

Monday, August 24, 2009

EPL ...........

LIVERPOOL-ASTON VILLA (written sunday a.m)

Much like Manchester United's "owning" of Wigan, Liverpool have totally dominated this series in recent years and have not lost in 15 meetings between the two clubs. The home side threw off the lethargy of their performance at Tottenham to put four past Stoke in midweek and are meeting a Villa side who have performed poorly in losses to Wigan, where they were dire and away to Rapid Wien in the Europa League. The real spine of their team has been lost, with Laursen and Barry moving on and I would advise avoid them until Martin O'Neill can address the problem. Luke Young is on compassionate leave following the death of his brother and a number of other key players are sick or carrying knocks, not a lot is going right at Villa Park.

By the time these two kick off, Liverpool could be six points behind some of their major title rivals, so once again, even at this stage of the season, three points will be seen as essential, especially with the distraction of the Champions League coming up shortly. Home win.

6 points Liverpool -1.25 goals 1.95 asian line.

Good Luck.

Saturday, August 22, 2009




Over 25,000 supporters arrived at Carrow Road to witness Norwich destroy tiny Colchester on the opening day of the season, unfortunately they were four down inside 23 minutes and eventually lost 7-1!

That cost boss Bryan Gunn his job just two games into the season and City turned to Colchester chief Paul Lambert as his replacement. Lambert is far more tactically astute than Gunn and should be able to make the most, of what remains a decent squad at this level. He will be desperate to start with a win and faces an opponent he knows well, having been in charge at Wycombe for two seasons. Wanderers are having defensive problems of their own and following promotion, have yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding eight in just four starts.

Lambert watched his team at Brentford in midweek, before officially taking charge and the Canaries pretty much controlled the first half and were unlucky to lose by the odd goal in three, probably deserving at least a share of the spoils. He will have seen plenty to give him hope and there is no reason why City cannot get into the playoff picture. Home win.

5.5 points Norwich City -3/4 ball 2.02 asian line.

Good Luck.


Things can change very quickly in football, just three short years ago I wrote an extended and depressing post about my beloved Brentford, the club that has taken up far too much of my life and caused me untold heartache over the years. That article can be viewed here, Brentford were indeed relegated that season and the following season, struggled in the fourth tier of English football.

Of course, even as a Bees fan, there has been the odd high point over the decades, reaching the FA Cup last eight in 1988-89 with a great footballing side and travelling to Ewood Park and Anfield, playoff visits to Wembley and Cardiff, the odd promotion, highlight of which was winning the old third division in 91-92 and going up to what is now the Championship. The last week of that season was unbelievable, beating big local rivals Fulham 4-0 and then winning the title at Peterborough on the last day, those are two days that will stay with me forever.

That was followed by the only season I have watched them play in anything other than the bottom two divisions and what are my abiding memories of that camapign ? The eight minutes of injury time played at home to Notts County, where the referee appeared to wait for a County equaliser before blowing his whistle, those lost points would have saved us and a totally inept display on the last day of the season at Bristol City in front of thousands of travelling Bees. That pretty sums up being a fan of a lower league club, you take and make the most of any highlights along the way, because you know full well you will be paying for them later !

Anyway, things are definitely on the up in that most hallowed corner of TW8, Brentford were promoted last season and off the pitch the club is being well run, there is a degree of transparency in what is happening and next week, the supporters group currently running the club, will vote overwhelmingly in favour of "eventually" handing over control of the Bees to Matthew Benham. Benham is a long time supporter, who made his money in banking and then sports betting ( he is one of us !) and unlike the majority of other owners, actually has an understanding of the game. I expect it to be a good deal for the club, it will at the very least secure the immediate (5 years) future of Brentford FC and in these troubled times, when so many clubs are struggling, that is about as good as it gets at this level. There are still plans to move to a new stadium at some stage, but this is very unlikely until there is an upturn in the housing market, with the Bees current home Griffin Park ( The Theatre of Sleepless Nights) standing on desirable building land.

Having just a little money available makes so much difference in the lower leagues, Brentford are never going to make any big money signings, but boss Andy Scott and his team have an eye for young talent and he has been very astute in the loan market. When any player has been injured, Scott has had funds to act very quickly and get some cover in (witness Alan Bennett injured on Tuesday, James Wilson signed on Wednesday), he has built a very pacey, close knit team, with a tremendous spirit and never say die attitude, who have collected a lot of points late in games.

Division 1 looks very tough this season, but I would not write off a playoff push for the Bees, they have a couple of key players injured at present, but set to return soon and then the squad will look strong. The players are confident and have made an unbeaten start to life at the higher level and also outplayed established Championship side Bristol City in the League Cup (although they eventually lost), Supporters are firmly behind the club and what they are trying to do, attendances are on the up and some 2,500 + are going to Southampton today to follow their team, if they can come back with a point or better, that would be a very solid start to the season and give them a platform to build upon. They are on offer at circa 3.75 to win this afternoon and whilst I am not putting that up as a bet, I certainly would not discourage you from chancing a little. Up the Bees !

Good Luck.

Friday, August 21, 2009

LIGUE 2 ................


One point was very important to both Ajaccio and Strasbourg last season, it was the margin by which the home side avoided relegation and the visitors missed out on promotion. It is also key in h2h meetings between these two here, as the last six games have ended all square. I think a seventh stalemate makes perfect sense, Ajaccio look likely to struggle again, mainly because their home form is so bad, with just six wins in 20 league starts and they will be happy for anything they can get this evening.

Strasbourg have started slowly, but did get their first point of the season in midweek and will be desperate not to lose this evening and to get a result to build on. They are definitely a team in transition and in my opinion showed a lack of ambition with their summer "business"failure to get promotion obviously took a lot out of them. Like I say, a share of the spoils is once again on the cards, for two teams who might be in for a long season.

4 points Ajaccio-Strasbourg draw 3.0 + ....... a little 3.11 on the exchanges.

Good Luck.

Thursday, August 20, 2009


I am not accepting any further subscribers to the email service at present, as we have reached our maximum numbers. This might well change in the future, possibly from October, when a few more spots could be released. If that is the case, I will keep you informed.

So for now, you can read the blog safe in the knowledge that there will be no sales pitch.

Good Luck.




There are many similarities between Superettan this year and two seasons ago, back then IFK raced into a massive lead and then slowly coasted to promotion, with GIF snatching the final automatic spot. This year, Mjallby hold a 12 point lead and even now with 11 rounds to go, they look booked for Allsvenskan, having said that, they have appeared to be tiring recently and riding their luck.

They probably do not fancy this long trip north to play on GIF's artificial surface, especially meeting a team who look strong and who are beginning to crank things up. They are very strong on home soil, just two losses and 16 wins in 23 starts at this level and a point today would take them into the playoff place, a win could see them snatch second, so they will certainly not lack motivation.

Mjallby have a tremendous away record, but they know they do not need to win every game now and the signs are clear that they are struggling to retain their focus and playing levels, I am very keen on GIF off level ball. Incidently they played IFK at a similar stage in 2007 and won 3-0, a result which really launched their promotion push, we might see a repeat this evening.

6.5 points GIF level ball 1.92 asian line.

Good Luck.

Tuesday, August 18, 2009



Billy Davies is building a side to compete at the business end of the Championship, the results have not come yet, but they are playing well and were incredibly unlucky to lose at home to WBA on saturday. They created chance after chance, but couldn't convert any, they then conceded an own goal, before missing a late penalty.They allowed the visitors virtually nothing and I think they will be too strong for a Watford side that took a bit of a hammering at Sheffield United over the weekend.

The 2-0 scoreline doesn't really tell the full story, United created 16 attempts at goal, enjoyed the bulk of possesion and visiting keeper Scott Loach put in a MOTM performance.

WBA boss Roberto di Matteo described Forest as a very good side and we might just see that for ourselves tonight.Home win.

6 points Nottingham Forest -1/2 ball 1.83 asian line.

Good Luck.




Hosts have made a fantastic start to their season and dominated Southampton at the weekend, when the 3-1 scoreline did not do them justice.However, in this league it is very difficult to win three in a row at home, let alone three in a one week period and I suspect they might not be able to peak again. They certainly might struggle to breakdown the visitors, who kept things very tight in a 0-0 draw at my beloved Brentford over the weekend.

Boss Russell Slade will doubtless retain his five man midfield and look to stifle the game, he faced Town three times last season and did not lose, keeping two clean sheets whilst at his former club Yeovil. Before bringing the relegation threatened Seagulls here late last season and earning a valuable point. I have a strong feeling that they will return home with another share of the spoils tonight.

5 points Brighton +1/2 ball 2.11 asian line.

pre season Brighton news

Good Luck.

Monday, August 17, 2009

MONDAY .............

Y.E Yang out battled Tiger yesterday and asian sponsors must be falling over themselves to get the Korean golfer signed up this morning. He was a very easy winner in the without Woods market and I hope that some of you took advantage of the generous odds on offer, as pinpointed early on Sunday.

It was a fantastic day of sport, highlight was the sensational 100m final at the World Championships, where Usain Bolt broke yet another world record, recording a time of 9.58, he is not content with that and claims that 9.40 is definitely possible. Looking at the ease with which he raced yesterday, few would bet against him.

I have just sent subscribers just one bet for today, so will not be posting it on the blog, but am very likely to have some news to pass on tomorrow, so please check back.

Good Luck.

Sunday, August 16, 2009



Final major of the year and Tiger leads by two from Harrington and Yang, Stenson and Glover are a further two strokes back, with Els and Kjeldsen another shot behind.

Woods and Padraig went head to head last week on the final day of the WGC Bridgestone event, the Irishman led by three after 54 holes, but a seven shot swing on the final day, saw the best player of all time ease home. Harrington is a very tough competitor and as champion, will not give up his crown without a fight, but he must still bear the mental scars from last week and at short odds in this market, I will look elsewhere.

I am interested in the Korean Yang, who has already won in the US this year, in the Honda Classic, along with a number of international wins, which include the 2006 HSBC Champions tournament, where he saw off Tiger by a couple of shots.He is a very intersting character and did not really take up the game until into his twenties, which is virtually unheard of. Yang has played the last two days as well as anyone, notching seven birdies yesterday and is in terrific form, in his last three outings, he was 8th in the Canadian Open with a closing 68, followed that with 5th in the Buick shooting 67 on Sunday and last week shot 69-66 over the weekend for another big finish in the WGC event. He should go close.

Els is not the player he was, not by a long way, but has played well this week and but for closing with three bogies yesterday, he would be much closer. At least that means that there is little pressure on him today, which he does not seem to relish any more and he has the chance to post a low score whilst others are still on the course. Ernie is pleased with his game and is a proven Round 4 player, being ranked in the top eight on tour in two of the last three seasons, which is impressive considering he has not been at his best in these years. I will chance a little on him for old times sake.

4 points Y.E YANG 6.0 general quote.... 6.50 in places.

1.5 points ERNIE ELS 19.0 general quote.

Good Luck.

SUNDAY MORNING ..............

Very frustrating yesterday, QPR allowed a late equaliser which meant stakes returned on our level ball bet and prevented a 5 from 5 cleansheet for subscribers, who received the two selections given below, plus winners @ 2.20, 2.10 and 1.87.

Still, over 24 points profit is a very good return for the day.

Today, I have previewed the final round of the USPGA golf and also gave three football bets, most of this output will be kept for subcribers, but I will post something on the blog.

Elsewhere, Andrew Murray is in the Montreal Masters final and up to number two in the world, replacing Rafael Nadal. Jessica Ennis is elegantly heading for a gold medal in the Heptathalon at the Athletics World Championships, where the only view of Usain Bolt most competitors will get in tonight's 100m final, will be of his rear disappearing over the horizon.

Good Luck today !

Saturday, August 15, 2009




I suspect Everton might struggle today, there has been plenty of unrest at the club regarding Joleon Lescott's future and they can ill afford to be without him, be it in mind and/or body with Phil Jagielka already missing from defensive duties, also out are Anichebe, Arteta and Yakuba.

Last season they started very slowly and conceded 18 goals in their opening 8 starts and did not record a win at Goodison until November 1st. They opened with a poor 3-2 loss at home to Blackburn and then conceded three unanswered goals to Portsmouth in their next home match, if they start as sluggish this time round and all the signs are there, it is very hard to see them getting anything from a Gunners side that have looked strong in pre season. Andrey Arshavin is a player I rate very highly and he could dominate the EPL this year, he scored four times on his last trip to Merseyside and is worth a look in the anytime goalscoring market.

Aside from their FA Cup run last season, Everton do not have the best record against the "big 4" and I am firmly with the visitors off level ball.

7 points Arsenal level ball 1.75 asian line.

Good Luck.




Rangers did not turn out to be the massive spenders expected last season, but have built a very strong looking squad. They were disappointed to only draw 1-1 at home to Blackpool last week but totally dominated the game and should have won with ease, after creating 21 goalscoring chances and hitting the woodwork four times , the fact that players like Rowan Vine, Akos Buzsaky and Patrick Agyemang started on the bench tells you all you need to know about the quality available to visiting boss Jim Magilton. They put five past Exeter in the cup in midweek and the goals should continue to flow against an Argyle side who look short of two or three players , have won just 5 times in 25 starts, conceded more home goals than any team apart from basement Charlton last season and created fewer goal attempts on target than anyone.

They have struggled so far, with an undeserved point at Crystal Palace and a loss at newly promoted Division One side Gillingham on Tuesday, in a game where the lower league side dominated.

The classy pair Heidar Helguson and Adel Taarabt also return from International duty to further boost the visitors and they should have too much for a limited home side who are without a couple of key players.

6 points QPR level ball 1.97 + asian line.

Good Luck.

Friday, August 14, 2009


Very busy weekend ahead, I am looking at previewing 5-7 games for tomorrow alone and will do my best to post one or two here on the blog.

I have an incredible strike rate over recent weeks, with just one half stake loser and 90% + winners in the last fortnight. So it is probably worthwhile checking back.

Good Luck with all your bets today !

FRIDAY .....




Visitors were easy winners of this league two seasons ago and are determined to but in a big bid to reclaim their top flight status at the first attempt, they opened with a 1-1 draw at Den Bosch and are looking for all three points at Omniworld who won only eight times last season, ending nine points adrift of the rest of the division.They started this campaign in similar fashion losing 2-0 at Go Ahead and showed very little, especially offensively, they are without three players today and I expect a comfortable away win.

6.5 points Volendam -3/4 ball 1.78 asian line.

Good Luck.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009



Tough looking quote for the hosts, eecially given that they have not won at home in ten starts and have nine players away on international duty. However, this is one of the biggest squads around and they have very able replacements, for example, keeper Ben Hamer who will start tonight, played almost every game in the Brentford Division 2 Championship winning side of last season.Big summer signing Matt Mills will make his debut and everyone else will be looking to earn a regular starting place. The Royals opened with a 0-0 draw at the weekend, but played really well, created plenty of chances and kept possession making almost 500 passes an incredible number. They should have too much for a Burton side fortunate to have got into the Football League last season. They almost blew a huge lead over the closing months , when they did not play well and several teams would have been better suited for league status. They are without new striker Robin Shroot tonight.

5.5 points Reading -1.25 goals 2.04 asian line.

Good Luck.

Saturday, August 08, 2009


I like the odds for Derby County, who host newly promoted Peterborough United tomorrow, two consecutive promotions might catch up with the visitors and whilst they have funds available, a lower mid table finish seems on the cards.

The hosts will be without top scorer Rob Hulse, but have plenty of cover and boss Nigel Clough has the club buzzing and I understand the new signings have fitted in well. Clough is trying to play things down, but big things are expected this year, a huge crowd will be in attendance tomorrow and with three of their next four league games on the road, anything less than three points tomorrow, will be a disappointment. Confidence is sky high and Clough has his squad very fit and raring to go.

Leeds United will have no excuses this season and they have to get promotion, Simon Grayson has had plenty of time to get the squad he wants together and they have shown terrific ambition in keeping Jermaine Beckford at the club, when they could have cashed in. They did sell Fabian Delph to Aston Villa, but are pleased with replacement Micky Doyle, whom Grayson has chased for months.Delph has fantastic potential, but an expecrience hand goes a long way at this level and Doyle fits the bill perfectly.

Pre season could hardly have gone better for United and they should have too much fire power for Exeter City, who were a non league side 18 months ago. The visitors will have 2,000 fans in an almost 30,000 crowd, but have a completly new back line and might struggle to contact the United wide players, with both full backs making their debut. Home win.

6 points Derby -1/2 ball 2.11 asian line.

6.5 points Leeds United -1 ball 1.87 asian line.

Good Luck.

Friday, August 07, 2009


I have not been posting much on the blog recently, I did give you a couple of winners last weekend and I am in good form since then, with a 100% record for subscribers in the meantime.

I might post a quick preview, with just a line or two about one or two of tomorrow's matches, but the bulk of my early season information, I want to keep solely to subscribers to the email service. From next weekend I will resume normal service, with a (almost ) daily posting on here.

Good Luck.

Saturday, August 01, 2009

SUNDAY .....


Rovers continue on their merry way and are now on a 15 match unbetaen domestic run, they have a terrific chance to close the gap on leaders Bohemians here, as Derry played a Europa Cup tie in Bulgaria just three days ago.

You might have read elsewhere that Rovers have four major doubts , but I am reliably informed that only oneis likely to miss out and that is more than offset by the return from suspension of Sean O'Connor and inclusion of new signing Pat Sullivan. I will take the fresher home side to claim all three points.

5.5 points Shamrock Rovers -1/2 ball 2.0 asian line.


I think that we will see goals in this game, despite the visitors failure to score in three starts. They managed four on their last visit here at the very end of May and this is traditionally a free scoring fixture with the last six meetings all producing three or more goals.Brondby have yet to keep a clean sheet in eight starts in all competitions this season and we discussed in greater depth their defensive woes last week, I see little changing in the short term.

6 points "over" 2.75 goals 2.05 asian line.

Good Luck.