Thursday, February 02, 2012

TAKEN FROM TODAY'S NOTES....


THURSDAY FEBRUARY 2ND

Next email will be sent Friday morning at the "normal" time which is circa 10.00 UK.

I have two golf selections for this week and a football bet for the weekend, this is my first two unit football bet of the year, two things about that, one I obviously like it a lot and as I explained last month, there will not be many of these in future and the difference between a 1.5 unit and 2 unit bet is big, as it ticks ALL the boxes and not just most of them, however, two units is my max bet, so there it is. BUT, it is very far from a sure thing, just one I feel offers very good value, odds are close to even money and my idea of the correct quote is nearer to 1.55, but 1.55 shots lose every day of the week.

I am going to start with the PGA event, the Waste Management Phoenix Open, played at the TPC Scottsdale, in front of the biggest , most raucous crowds in golf, which suit 23 yo Rickie Fowler very well. Fowler is very happy playing on the West Coast and was born in Murrieta, just a couple of hours along Interstate 10 from Scottsdale.

Fowler played here as a rookie in 2010 and finished second, shooting four really solid rounds of 65-67-69-68, he was bogey free on the sunday, so the pressure certainly didn't get to him. last year he made his season debut at Torrey Pines, where he finished top 20 and then came here and posted a tie for 13th, he shot a low score of the day 62 on Friday, but nothing really fell his way on the other days,however, he was under par on each and eight from eight sub par rounds is impressive. He again played Torrey Pines last week on his 2012 debut and shot 68-70-71-70 for another tie for 13th, an improvement on last year and so we are sure about his well being coming in.He was also ranked first for greens in regulation with shots hit from 100-125 yards, which will be a key stat here, as the ball flys quite a way in the desert, so you are usually playing shorter approach shots. He didn't play the back nine particularly well at TP, or have much luck, but he was great off the tee all week (also ranked 2nd for fairways hit), so is obviously in pretty good shape. Fowler has a breakthrough victory in Korea in October, by six strokes from Rory McIlroy and that win should set him up nicely to break his duck in his homeland, it should definitely come this year and why not this week ? 1.25 units Rickie Fowler to finish top ten 3.25 +... there is quite a bit of 3.50 on offer and I am pretty sure that you will get matched at that quote on the exchanges, over the next 24 hours. He was focused on this tournament immediately after he finished his final round last week, twice mentioning it in four questions at his post round interview ....

RICKIE FOWLER: Definitely a good start to the year, and I got a lot of momentum out of it. Ready to go for next weekend.
Q. Who is this guy Kyle Stanley? Have you seen him play much?
RICKIE FOWLER: I have. '07 Walker Cup teammate of mine. Great guy. Obviously, he's showing off his skills this week.
Q. Talk to me again about the crowd and what's it like playing near home?
RICKIE FOWLER: Well, I definitely have a lot of great fans and supporters, especially here in Southern California. Lot of friends and family come out as well. It's fun for me. I get to see some people I don't get to see all the time and play in front of people that are here to support me. So definitely makes it for a fun week.
Q. What is your schedule like the next three weeks?
RICKIE FOWLER: So far playing in the next two and that's what I'm planning on. Really just kind of focusing on playing well next week in the Waste Management.

The European Tour moves onto Qatar and the Commercialbank Qatar Masters. They have ......

Good Luck.

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