SATURDAY NOTES ......

SATURDAY MARCH 24th

Going to start with three strong domestic bets .....

CHAMPIONSHIP :

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LEAGUE 1 : WYCOMBE WANDERERS - MK DONS

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CHAMPIONSHIP: MILLWALL - LEEDS UNITED

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LA LIGA : GETAFE - VALENCIA

I have spoken several times about how we can expect a slightly questionable attitude from Valencia on occasion this season in La Liga, which is why we are firmly behind them in the Europa League. The problem is that they are clearly the third best team in Spain and have no chance to catch the top two, so will pick and choose which games they will be motivated for domestically. For example they were up to thumping a weary Athletic side who dared to threaten their status as next best in Spain by dominating Manchester United in two legs, with most of Europe watching and then lost at home to basement club Zaragoza. Now their lead in third is down to just three points over Levante and a Malaga team coming on strong, another defeat, or dropped points at all, is going to complicate matters for them and I think we will see the real Valencia this evening, especially as they feel agrieved by the midweek loss at the Mestalla. A few players missing on both sides of the pitch, but the visitors are much better able to handle their losses and are helped by the return of Tino Costa following suspension, Getafe have only two available central defenders and one has only made five starts this season, they are further weakened at the back and look very vunerable this evening. Only Real and Barce have posted more road wins than Valencia who won the reverse fixture 3-1 and the match here in Madrid last season 4-2, I expect them to collect the points and then turn their attention to the meeting with AZ Alkmaar on Thursday. 1.5 units Valencia -0.25 ball 2.12 asian line.

SERIE A : MILAN - ROMA

This fixture is dominated by Milan's Champions League quarter final with Barcelona on Wednesday, the home side are beat up and severely short of offensive options, are coming off a tough Copa Italia semi final on Tuesday, which has given them 24 hours less recovery than Roma who played on Monday and surely have to look to give themselves the best possible chance to compete with Barce in midweek.

No Cassanao, Pato, Robinho , Inzaghi or Maxi Lopez, just leaves Ibrahimovic and El Shaarawy up front, Zlatan limped out of the Juve game at the break and coach Massimiliano Allegri has to have him available on Wednesday.

Prince Boateng returns, but he along with Thiago Silva and Ambrosini have had limited training this week, Antonini is suspended and several others named in the squad are carrying knocks.

Roma despite a couple of questionable performances, especially at Atlanta, where without De Rossi there were shambolic at the back, remain in contention for that third place and with three of their next four starts at home, they have a big incentive to come away from the San Siro with a result. They have a good record here, losing just once in six visits and just one of eight in the reverse fixture, so much the better of this series in recent seasons.

We spoke ahead of the Coppa first leg about how Milan had struggled a little against the better teams this season, Roma just about fall into that category at present and this is a great chance for the visitors be beat a vunerable and distracted opponent. Regardless of what happens today, Milan will still be top of Serie A come Sunday evening and they have to look at the bigger picture. 1.25 units Roma +0.75 ball 2.07 asian line.

MILAN: Abbiati, Amelia, Bonera, Mesbah, Mexes, Nesta, Thiago Silva, Zambrotta, Yepes, Ambrosini, Aquilani, Boateng, Carmona (55), Emanuelson, Gattuso, Muntari, Nocerino, Seedorf, Van Bommel, El Shaarawy, Ibrahimovic.

ROMA :BORINI Fabio, CICINHO, CURCI Gianluca, DE ROSSI Daniele,GAGO Fernando,HEINZE Gabriel,KJAER Simon,KRKIC Bojan,LAMELA Erik,MARQUINHO,OSVALDO Pablo Daniel,PERROTTA Simone,PIGLIACELLI Mirko,PJANIC Miralem,ROSI Aleandro,SIMPLICIO Fabio Henrique,STEKELENBURG Maarten,TADDEI Rodrigo,TOTTI Francesco, VALDES J. Angel

Good Luck.

Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com