Saturday, August 11, 2012

J - LEAGUE ....

SATURDAY AUGUST 11th

Just J-League notes here, but there is plenty to cover in the follow up email which should be with you at 11.30 UK time will cover Brazilian, MLS and Scottish football. I am going to send out a limited number of free copies of the second email, so please check your inbox if you are on the data base.


contact details : gowi8@btinternet.com

KASHIMA ANTLERS- JUBILO IWATA

PREVIEW RESTRICTED TO SUBSCRIBERS 

KASHIWA REYSOL- FC TOKYO
 
PREVIEW RESTRICTED TO SUBSCRIBERS

OMIYA ARDIJA - SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA

Hosts are without midfielders Carlinhos ( 19 starts- 2 goals -1 assist) and Keigo Higashi ( 14-0-3), the former will be especially missed, he has played an average of 87.42 minutes in his 19 starts and they lost the last two matches heavily after he left the pitch in each and were thumped 4-1 in the match he missed completely, so 11 goals conceded in total in those three matches. Also out are left sided defender Kazuhiro Murakami ( 8 starts) and young fringe striker Shintaro Shimizu  ( 3 goals in six league and cup starts). Omiya have conceded 21 in their last ten, three in more in five of nine and are hurtling towards J-L2 at an alarming rate, they have finished bottom seven in each of the last seven seasons and this might well be the year they finally fall through the trap door. They were left cushed by a hugely important loss at Gamba last week.

Hiroshima are without centre back Hwang Seok Ho ( 12 starts) who is at the Olympics, they have done OK in his absence, losing just once in their last five, a home defeat to Shimizu last week, a match where they led for 78 minutes, before conceding two late goals. That cost them the lead in J-League, but they could go back to the top with all three points and I think we will see a very committed performance from them.The goals are flowing , only Kashiwa Reysol have scored more and with a terrific record here, they have not conceded in three ( two wins) or in six of seven visits, recording six wins, I favour a magnificent seven today. Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.75 ball 2.01 asian line.

If you are brave enough, it could definitely pay to wait with any bets here, hosts have conceded 73% of all goals in the second half, with a huge 36% between the 60th and 75th minute.

Hiroshima have scored a huge 38% after the 76th minute.  So a late bet, or increase in stake on the visitors, as the match enters the final third, might well be the way to go.


Good Luck.

contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

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